Some thoughts on the California recall election

  • The official party line from the Democrats is vote NO on the recall, then stop. Sign the back and mail it in.
  • That’s the party line from the San Diego Democrats, at least. I suspect it came down from the state.
  • I may deviate from party line and vote for Angelyne in part two because mandatory bubble baths.
  • Because the recall election is a shitshow, we could end up with Newsom getting 49+% of the vote and Elder getting 18% and Elder getting sworn in as governor in October.
  • If you have any elective medical procedures on the to-do list for this year, get ’em done now. Because we could have a Republican governor in October, and a few weeks after that, hospitals will over capacity, canceling elective procedures, and lining up the refrigerated trucks on the street to hold the excess dead bodies.
  • You think that last bit is hyperbole? That’s what’s going on in Texas and Florida, where Republicans are anti-mask and vax mandates because ‘MURRICA.

Bad news for Newsom—and California

New Poll Suggests Low Democratic Turnout Could Doom Gov. Newsom

Chris Jennewein at the Times of San Diego:

A new poll of California voters released Tuesday suggests low Democratic turnout could doom Gov. Gavin Newsom and finds talk show host Larry Elder leads a divided Republican field.”

It’s not surprising that Newsom is in jeopardy. Most registered voters oppose the recall, but the way the election is structured, the pro-recall faction has a substantial advantage. It’s just a badly structured election.

I was surprised by Elder’s lead—I would have thought Faulconer had the edge—but I guess Elder’s big talk-radio platform works for him.

Democrats need to get out and vote and get their neighbors to do the same.

Two-thirds of Southern Republicans want to secede

Secession sentiments are common in states with dominant parties. In the northeast, Democrats are OK with it.

Christopher Ingraham at The Why Axis:

It sure is a good thing there aren’t any troubling historic precedents for what happens when large numbers of Southern conservatives, motivated in large part by a sense of grievance and victimhood, want to break away from the Union.

@kottke:

The headline here is that 66% of polled southern Republicans want to secede from the US, but really everyone wants to get the hell away from everyone else.

Ingraham:

Across the country, Bright Line Watch finds, people have more favorable views toward secession when their political party is dominant in their region….

In the liberal Northeast, for instance, Democrats are the group most supportive (39 percent) of secession. Ditto for the West Coast. In the Midwest and Great Lakes states, by contrast, Independents like the idea best, reflecting the divided politics of the region. And across the board, these numbers are trending upward.

‘Conservative Porn Star’ Expelled After First Day Of TPUSA Student Event

Testing the Trumpified GOP’s newfound love for freedom of speech, a right-wing porn star [Brandi Love] planned to attend the conservative youth organization Turning Point USA’s annual Student Action Summit 2021, which began this weekend in Tampa, Florida.

[Josh Kovensky at Talking Points Memo]

They started the conference by condemning liberal cancel culture. But what they meant is that cancel culture is ok when conservatives do it.

School boards boil

School Boards Are Losing It. By Will Huntsberry at Voice of San Diego — School board standoffs around San Diego County go back to fights about reopening during the pandemic, and have moved on to other issues and racism. These include the movement to recall Charda Bell-Fontenot in the La Mesa-Spring Valley school district, where we live.