Ohio Politics Is Changing Rapidly Beneath a Stable Surface

Dante Chinni at the Wall Street Journal:

On the surface, Ohio looks like an island of calm after the turbulent 2020 election: Donald Trump won the state by 8.07 points in 2016 and won it again by 8.02 points in 2020.

But underneath those stable results, the state saw significant swings at the county level that suggest forces are at work remaking the electorate.

Ohio is split politically, and the split is getting wider. Rural Ohio is turning Republican and urban Ohio, and college-educated suburbs, are going blue